Election day!

CalgaryGrit has a listing of the latest polls.  Removing Compas.ca, here's the range.
CPC 35-37%, 138-146
NDP 30-33%, 65-114 !
LPC  18-21%, 39-63
Bloc  5-7%, 12-33.

Now, Compas.ca uses a different method.. more like a focus group.  I'm actually more inclined to believe their numbers giving a big majority to the CPC, however, the Election Prediction Project is actually pretty accurate.  But the range above definitely shows a shift in opposition.  It appears progressive Canadians have fired the Liberals, particularly Ignatieff, as official opposition.  Layton pointing out Ignatieff's very poor voting record in the debates and in TV ads, to me, coupled with Iggy's hollow "Rise Up" speeches, was the turning point.  Iggy telling Canadians to "Rise Up" when he wasn't even doing so in the House of Commons struck a chord with lefty progressives and saw Jack's attendance record and personality and flocked to him in droves.  Jack

In Quebec, soft-separatists have danced with Duceppe for some time now but his dancing has gotten dull and haven't seen any changes, see the Bloc leader without that spark, and so the exodus to the NDP and Jack Layton not to the Liberals and Ignatieff, who drifted to the right.  However, as I've said, the NDP have little ground game in Quebec and think they'll be on the lower-end of polls.

I don't think bin Laden's death will really change anything, other than solidify NDP voters who want out of Afghanistan and CPC voters who support Canada's military engagement there. 

Okay, here's the final polls, average, change from 2008, and my prediction.

PERCENTAGE	CPC	NDP	LPC	BQ	GPC	Ind
Leger	36	31	21	7	4
Angus Reid	37	33	19	6	4
Ipsos	38	33	18	7	4
Nanos	37	32	18	7	4
Ekos	35	31	20	5	6
Decima	36	30	19	6	6
Forum	35	33	19
Abacus	37	32	18	7	7
Compas	46	26	17	7	4
Average	37.44	31.22	18.78	6.50	4.88
2008	37.65	17.48	26.26	9.98	4.48
Change	-0.21	1.30	4.96	-3.48	0.40
Hatrock's Cave	40	30	20	7	3
SEATS	CPC	NDP	LPC	BQ	GPC	Ind
308.com	143	78	60	27	0	0
Riding-by-Riding	142	114	39	12	0	1
Trendlines	148	92	50	17	0	0
Ekos	138	113	41	15	1	0
LISPOP	144	98	51	15	0	0
Democratic Space	149	79	55	24	0	0
Election Pred. Proj.	146	63	63	33	0	0
Calgary Grit (proj)	151	91	47	19	0	0
Calgary Grit (pred)	146	83	55	22	1	1
Average	145.2	90.1	51.2	20.4	0.2	0.2
2008	143	29	77	49	0
Change	2	61	-26	-29	0
Hatrock's Cave	157	65	55	30	0	1

Ok, now I'm going to head to the polling station half a block away and vote for Laurie Hawn.